This blog contains all of my “controversial” writings. I was inspired to start writing about politics and current events again, as you might guess, by the election of Donald Trump in 2016. There was such an incredible explosion of fear, outrage, and yes, gloating, that I just had to say something. I try very hard not to deliberately offend people but of necessity these are going to be the “hot button” topics that make people mad. Please note that I have disabled comments for most of these posts because I simply don’t have the time or energy to debate this stuff.
Midterm Elections 2018
A fun topic for everyone!
Election results: Democrats take the House, Republicans gained significant ground in the Senate. So everyone is claiming victory this morning. No matter what your views are, you can find something in the election to celebrate, something to mock, and something to worry to about. To me, this reaffirms how divided the country is, and that there’s no sign it’s going to get better anytime soon. 2020 is likely to be a blood bath.
I wrote this tweet:
Then the thought police came along and smacked my hand for finding humor in a serious situation and daring to speak my opinions. :)
Of course you can’t fit thousands of words of complex thoughts about an election and American politics into a single tweet, so I had to distill it all down to a single joke, which I still think is a pretty good one. It’s non-partisan–a Democrat or a Republican, conservative or liberal can look at that and nod in agreement. It’s agnostic about how I personally voted or view things. And it’s also 100% truthful and reflects the objective reality of the situation… it’s funny because it’s true.
Something that people (including we in America) often forget is that America is not so much “one country” as it is “50 states.” Consider this: Within the same country, in the same election, we had record numbers of elected women, two elected Muslim-American Congresswomen [update: not sure this is 100% accurate, but I’m so tired of reading about this election now to correct it], while simultaneously, Ted Cruz won in Texas with hardcore Trump rhetoric, and a Senator lost in North Dakota because Native Americans were blatantly and unashamedly barred from casting ballots [update: double-check me on this too], all while in Florida, voting rights were restored to millions of convicted felons. It’s 50 different cultures with 50 different agendas squashed together, often painted as “one” people that should have “one” agenda. Friction is inevitable, and constant. It’s rare when America hasn’t been at war with itself. I saw an interview with Jon Stewart after the 2016 election that I think really expressed that thought well, but of course I can’t remember where I saw it and can’t find it.
The thing that disturbs me, and what seems to be changing (for the worse) lately is the idea that one side is “good” and the other side is “evil.” That we can no longer “work with” or “compromise” with the people who hold different views–the other side is so evil that it must now be eliminated. They aren’t even human beings anymore. It’s okay to hate them because they aren’t real. It’s so bad that I would probably get yelled at for saying Republicans have “different views,” because in the minds of a whole lot of people since 2016, Republicans are literal Nazis and no amount of logic or reason will change their minds. More and more people are becoming crusaders and zealots. That attitude used to be held only by radical conservatives, but now it’s held by the radicals among conservatives and progressives, and it gets worse every year because conflict sells, and fear sells.
Can you even imagine how much money you could make by running for office these days? Millions and millions of dollars are poured into the coffers of any candidates who have the courage to say the things that people want to cheer for. Where does that money go? It ain’t all spent on campaign ads.
Anyway. I digress. I watched segments of morning shows on three different networks: Morning Joe on MSNBC, Fox and Friends, and BBC World News. Each of those networks described an entirely different reality this morning. MSNBC celebrated the House wins and the repudiation of Trump, while downplaying the Senate. Fox celebrated the Senate wins and the clear Trump victory, while downplaying the House. BBC World News was the only one that gave a fairly accurate but slightly bemused representation of what had actually happened, which was the same reality that I saw… across the entire country, both sides won, and both sides lost.
Except here in my state of Virginia, of course, where the election solidified just how much this state has flipped from Red to Blue (Republican to Democratic) in the last 10-15 years. Tim Kaine (D) won the Senate seat handily, as expected. The polls were precisely correct in this race–Cory Stewart never had a chance, a massive rejection of Trump-style candidates here in Virginia. (Clinton won here in Virginia, by the way.) The Virginia Republican Party is in shambles right now.
This follows last year’s governor’s election, which was also a solid win for the Democrats. One might even say Virginia was among the first of the American electorate to say after 2016, “Hey, guys, that Trump guy is kind of an idiot.” Not that anyone ever brought that up in news coverage last night. :)
All 11 Congressional seats were up for election in Virginia, but there were only four “battleground” seats that anyone cared about: VA-02, VA-05, VA-07, and VA-10. (The Democrat won easily in my district, VA-04, in another blowout no-contest race that everyone knew how it would turn out–they say every vote counts, but that only applies in close races; I need not have bothered.) Three of them were taken by Democrats in close races (all women, I believe?), another resounding rejection of Trump politics. That means of 11 House Representatives, we’ll have 7 Democrats, and only 4 Republicans. And our two Senators remain Democratic. That is a pretty radical flip from the Bush days of the 2000s. Virginia is not so much a “purple” state anymore as it is solidly blue.
I have to mention the 7th District. That’s been my district for most of my adult life, but due to a court-ordered redistricting I got moved to the 4th District in 2016. The 7th District was held in an iron grip by a staunch, annoying Republican guy named Eric Cantor for most of my voting memory, but in 2014 he lost to a Tea Party-ish Republican named Dave Brat. This year, Dave Brat lost to Democrat Abigail Williams Spanberger [update: lol why was I thinking of the Salem Witch Trials?? I promise that wasn’t a Freudian slip, I have nothing against her, although I didn’t follow that election at all] in a very, very close race.
The idea that a Democrat could win in the 7th District is mind-boggling. They’ve been blown out by ridiculous 70-30 margins for years and years and years. (The redistricting pulled in a lot more Democratic areas, though, so it wasn’t so much a case of the people changing their minds.) I’m kind of annoyed that I didn’t get to vote in that district, because it would have been the first time my vote actually mattered.
The two tax-related state constitutional amendments on the ballot in Virginia both passed handily. They seemed sensible to me, but I’m not a money guy and I have no idea what the consequences of them might be. Neither really applied to me anyway. I don’t remember seeing a single mention of those amendments in any news report.
I specifically didn’t participate in the rampant “vote shaming” that the kids on Twitter enjoy and steadfastly refused to say whether I voted or not, or how. I’ll just say that I behaved in a manner that is consistent with the behavior of an adult who is knowledgable about the history and operation of his government and has followed the politics of his area somewhat closely for well over a decade.
Virginia Primary Results
Guys! It’s time to really put our money where our mouth is and get out there and really vote to let everyone know because 2018 is going to be such a huge change year and …
And…
Okay, you caught me, I completely forgot about the Virginia primaries. Today, I thought, Oh yeah! I should start looking into that because I saw a few people mention voting on Twitter. Well, it turns out the Virginia primaries were on June 12, precisely two weeks ago today. Suffice it to say, I’m not following daily news anymore, nationally or locally, I’m not paying any attention to whatever the daily outrage is, I’m not on Facebook very much, I’m in my own world doing my own thing and it’s very stress-free.
So it turns out Corey Stewart won the Republican Congressional primary by two scant points. Color me surprised. Who could have predicted Virginia Republicans would go for the most controversial Republican candidate parroting Donald Trump in a primary? Wait, let me tally the results here, and the winner is… literally everyone. He was the only name I even recognized on the list, the others being completely unknown to me. Still, it’s hard not to notice that Stewart only won by two points to a complete stranger. That suggests that roughly half of Virginia Republicans aren’t vengeful sociopaths, so I guess that’s something to work with.
Hostages From North Korea Released
Another post just to mark the event that three American hostages are being released from North Korea today:
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/05/09/3-americans-detained-in-north-korea-in-good-health-and-on-their-way-back-to-us-trump-says.html
https://abcnews.go.com/International/trump-americans-held-north-korea-back-us/story?id=54905339
I wondered a while back if these hostages had anything to do with North Korea’s sudden willingness to bargain. What has the U.S. given up to get these hostages back? Or did the U.S. deliver some kind of private ultimatum that forced North Korea to release the hostages and come to the table? Did the U.S. have anything at all to do with it? I don’t know, but I’ll be curious to find out the answers someday.
North and South Korea
The huge news out of the Koreas this morning definitely deserves a mention for posterity:
https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/north-korea-south-korea-summit-intl/index.html
The first thing I thought was: Wow there is going to be a whole lot of cognitive dissonance happening on Twitter today, and a whole bunch of activists working overtime to spin this news for or against their favored elected officials.
Even I am experiencing cognitive dissonance. There is no question this is a solid win for the Trump administration, and I have no idea how it could possibly have happened, given all the previous news.
Shutdown Optics Wars
It occurred to me that this shutdown is the Republicans’ best and probably only strategy for winning elections in 2018. Prior to the shutdown, there were only two accomplishments Republicans could campaign on: Neil Gorsuch and passing the Tax Bill, neither of which are particularly great for capturing undecided voters, even if there wasn’t a truckload of negative baggage attached to each of them.
Of course, they could also campaign on “Look how great Trump is!” Um. Yeah. Probably not a great strategy for most areas of the country.
Anyway, the shutdown gives Republicans the opportunity to add to the equation: “OMG Look What Those Awful Democrats Did! Even Trump Wouldn’t Do Anything That Bad!” Look for them to find and highlight stories of military families who can’t pay for groceries, or something like that. A message of “the other guy is really awful” is far more effective for getting people on your side than a message of “hey look we are doing great.” Especially when you aren’t doing great.
And at the risk being crass, it would be fantastic for Republicans if something bad happened during the shutdown which the government could not respond to. (There is no doubt in my mind that both Republicans and Democrats are strategizing behind closed doors about that.) If anything does happen, Republicans will capitalize on it hardcore and probably “win” the shutdown optics.
(By the way, I expect Democrats to counter the starving troops optics by giving out food to the troops, or something like that. “The Republicans won’t let the government function, so we’ll do it for them! We are the party that helps the troops!”)
Thanks to the American people being so generally uninterested and uninformed about their government, these incredibly obvious attempts to shape public opinion actually work.
UPDATE
The government re-opened on Tuesday, having been “shut down” for only Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Congress reached a temporary deal for two weeks.
Largely News-Free
I’m still here but nothing much to say about current events. I’m just not interested right now. I don’t care a whit if the government shuts down or not. I don’t care a whit about the president saying curse words in private meetings. DACA and Dreamers are issues that I typically don’t think about and have little or no personal stake in.
Watching the “hole versus house” followup war of narratives is more interesting to me: That is, the president’s team trying, successfully I might add, to shape the controversy as the “course language” he did or didn’t use and focusing on that, which completely derailed the more substantive policy discussion. The “why” he said it was completely lost amid the deluge of “what” he said, and that was a win for Team Trump. It’s yet another lesson in how easy it is to manipulate the mainstream media and drive the news cycle (see also: Trump wins election).
Those are my super controversial remarks for the day.
That Swatting Incident
I’ve been largely ignoring the news here at the end of the year, so I don’t have much to say about whatever new controversy is going on right now. Or the other new one. I mean, let’s be honest, there has to be a new one literally every single day to keep driving traffic, right?
But I did see one horrifying gaming-related news story that struck a nerve:
Call of Duty gaming community points to ‘swatting’ in deadly Wichita police shooting
Family says son killed by police in ‘swatting’ was unarmed, didn’t play video games
Police release ‘swatting’ call, video of man being shot to death as a result of hoax
LAPD arrests man on suspicion of making deadly swatting call to Wichita police
I tweeted about the incident saying something to the effect that I hoped the perpetrator(s) of the hoax were caught and given the same restraint that had been given to the innocent person who died. Meaning, indirectly, that I hoped someone “accidentally” shot those gamer(s) to rid the world of their DNA and save taxpayer dollars on a trial. It’s a terribly vindictive thing to say and completely circumvents the whole “innocent until proven guilty” ideal of America that I should hold up as a shining beacon of our values, but hey, it made me mad.
Because it (yet again) paints the gaming community in a horrible light. Nobody ever talks about the ways in which gaming communities legitimately help people, our community is only seen by the outside world in stories about “gaming addiction” and “swatting.” Let me just state categorically that this kid and swatting does not in any way represent the gaming world that I know and support. His world is basically a bunch of listless street punks with the means and technology to frequent an online game instead of an inner city back alley.
It also upsets me because I don’t fully understand how police can simply take a 911 caller’s word that a deadly hostage situation is underway, no questions asked. I’m so cynical I guess that I automatically assume any communication from an anonymous, unverifiable source should by default be treated as a deception, be it over telephone, fax, email, Twitter, Facebook, or whatever. In today’s world of technology you have literally no idea who is on the other end of a communication channel unless you a) actually know the other person and recognize their face/voice/handwriting, or b) physically see and touch an authentic identification, preferably more than one. Literally anyone from around the entire world can place a phone call to any other person anywhere in the entire world and make it appear that it comes from literally anyone they want in the entire world. That is not an exaggeration for effect. That is a literal fact. The same has been true of email since its inception. Most Internet communication channels have this problem. For example, if you get a friend request on Facebook, unless you can physically ask the person if it was really them, you have no way of knowing with absolute certainty it’s really them. Even if you do trust that the initial friending is legit, that friend’s account could be compromised at any time without either party knowing it. I mean, how often have you heard of people just giving their Facebook password away to someone else? I don’t know about you, but I’ve heard it a lot. (One or more times is considered “a lot.”)
I got into a bit of a Twitter debate about where to place the blame for this poor guy’s death. To me, it was very obvious that 100% of the blame lay on the kid who made the 911 call. The officer who fired the shot should still be investigated and I completely support that, but if there are any criminal charges filed I very much hope they go against the kid and not that officer. Initial reports (see above) seem to indicate the officer acted appropriately. This was the equivalent of two kids fighting over a game of dice in a back alley, one of them pulling a gun, and accidentally shooting an innocent bystander who just happens to walk by at the time. In that case, the criminal is clearly the kid who pulled the gun and shot the bystander. The circumstances are more vague in this case, but the criminal is still clearly the kid who called 911, because he was effectively committing a crime using the police as his weapon, and he should be prosecuted for (at least) manslaughter here. It may well have been “accidental” but it’s still a crime.
Some people on Twitter seem to think that rampant unchecked police brutality is responsible for this guy’s death, many more than just the one person I was talking with on Twitter. Especially from overseas, there is a perception, reinforced by popular media, that the U.S. is a lawless warzone where anyone can be gunned down on the street at any time, and us poor citizens cower in fear for our lives every day. If that’s the only thing you know about the U.S., I can understand the sentiment of outrage against the police here.
Maybe there are people who cower in fear every day of their lives, and there are certainly places and circumstances where that is justified, but for myself, I’ve never been anywhere near a violent crime in my entire life, and have never felt fearful for my personal safety because of gun violence or police violence.
At first I had questions about how an officer could shoot an unarmed person, but now that more details have been released about the incident, it makes a lot more sense to me. I don’t condone what that officer did, and I hope he gets a lot of support/training/debriefing/whatever about this and learns from it, but based on the fake information from the 911 call, and the behavior of the man outside his house, it is not surprising that he was shot.
I know innately to treat police with a healthy respect, because they have loaded weapons and the legal authority to use them. This is something I’ve known for as long as I can remember. The idea of just walking outside to see what is going on with a lot of flashing lights and sirens near my house strikes me as roughly equivalent to dropping a toaster in your bath to see what will happen. If it had been me, especially now that I’m aware of this incident of swatting, I’d have gotten down on the floor and put my hands over my head, shouting very loudly that I was unarmed and cooperating, until everybody put their guns away. (I’d probably try to record everything on my phone too if I could safely do so–video/audio evidence is much more damning than verbal witness testimony in today’s world.) At the very least I sure wouldn’t just go wandering around outside where anyone, friend or foe, could take a shot at me.
So what can we learn from this terrible incident? (I will not call it a “tragedy” because tragedies are unavoidable.)
- For one, it probably is a good idea to make a plan for what to do if you see a large police force show up outside your house for no apparent reason. Start by being afraid, not curious.
- If you’re involved with the criminal underworld of online gaming and betting, you might want to take some steps to keep your real-world identity private. Then, after that, you should stop being involved with that underworld and go do something productive with your life. Who thinks betting $2 on Call of Duty is a winning strategy for succeeding in life?
- Teach your kids and anyone you can find that online multiplayer games are *not* safe spaces. *I* know this because of twenty years of experience. In the early days, they *were* relatively safe spaces. The worst you could expect was someone trying to get you to press ALT-F4 in a game. But those crazy naive days ended when the 1990s ended. I know how exhilarating it can be to feel like you’ve found a “home” in an online world, and there may indeed be like-minded people in those spaces, but these days, there are just as likely to be more predators in those spaces as friends. Why wouldn’t there be? In most cases, there is nothing stopping predatory behavior except community standards. There are very few laws that govern these online spaces.
And this is my last point, which is another thing that frustrates me about this swatting incident: I don’t know about other countries, but U.S. laws need to move faster to catch up with technology. The amount of criminal or even just shady activity that can be done using technology today is staggering, and our laws are still focused on dealing with those two street punks fighting over a dice game in a back alley.
It is not an exaggeration now to say that our entire system of democracy is at risk because of how much unchecked lawless behavior can be conducted on the Internet. I am not one of those who believes Trump “colluded” with Russia (pending further information, of course–and yes I completely trust Mueller’s investigation and whatever his findings might be), but there can be no doubt that the inherent anonymity of the Internet, combined with most people’s generally trusting nature and the belief that we still live in a pre-Internet world where we only need to worry about our immediate physical neighbors, has created a social engineering platform of a massive scale that has never before been seen in history. (Trump himself takes advantage of it daily!)
P.S. Is there any way this kid can atone for what he’s done here? He can start by owning up to what he did, plead guilty, and serve whatever jail time is required. That is the absolute minimum bar to get over before he can begin to rebuild his credibility as a human being. Then he will need to pay for the expenses incurred by the locality for calling out a SWAT team, pay for any funeral expenses for the guy who died, and pay for any legal fees incurred by the police officer who fired the shot (if any). Then he will need to spend a big chunk of the rest of his life using his experience as a platform to educate others in the gaming world and fight to prevent this situation from ever happening again. Only after I see all of those things would I even consider treating him with any respect.
P.P.S. I would also like to see some GoFundMe efforts from the Call of Duty gambling community to help defray some of the above costs incurred, too. Because they are not completely blameless here, either.
UPDATE 1/11/2018 Similarity to Wichita swatting call led Canadian police to [redacted].
UPDATE 1/26/2018 Court document names gamers involved in fatal Wichita swatting incident.
UPDATE 4/16/2018 Police officer will not be charged.
UPDATE 5/24/2018 Three charged in the case.
Behind the Tweet: We Must Wipe Them Out
There is a never-ending supply of crazy retweeted in my timelines, and it all comes from the left. Every single day I could pick something like this to highlight.
It is no longer enough to retake the House in 2018.
It is no longer even enough to retake the Senate.
We must wipe out the GOP so thoroughly and methodically that it will be a warning throughout history to any politician who ever does this to their constituents again.
— Matthew Chapman (@fawfulfan) December 20, 2017
I mean, really? What world does someone have to live in to think it’s okay to nakedly advocate for a One Party Rule and “wiping out” the opposition in the United States of America? The mind boggles at the sheer impulsiveness, and the complete ignorance of history and future consequences.
I sometimes wonder why Russia bothers trying to divide our country… American activists are doing just fine without them.
Tax Bill
Here is my standard disclaimer: I don’t know anything about economics and I don’t want to know anything about economics because it’s not science. I similarly don’t want to study the intricacies of homeopathy or astrology. In blunt terms, I couldn’t care less about taxes and this entire bill is about as interesting to me as paint drying.
So here’s my opinion on this tax reform/tax cut/tax scam bill.
Get ready. You might want to brace yourself. It will be a tremendous surprise when I reveal my centrist opinion on this tax bill.
It’s both good and bad at the same time.
There will be people who benefit from it, and people who are hurt by it. It will depend on where you live, and what your job is, and your general life situation, and there is probably no way to figure it out beforehand.
It will obviously benefit the rich. But that doesn’t necessarily mean it can’t or won’t benefit the middle class. (The poor will probably not get any benefit and probably never will because nobody ever does anything about the poor.)
I completely understand and support cutting the corporate tax rate to be more competitive with the world. That seems like a no-brainer to me.
Removing the Individual Mandate? I don’t know enough to say whether it’s a good idea or not. For myself, obviously I don’t want to pay a penalty for not having health insurance. But I understand the reason for it from a broader perspective (because if nobody buys health insurance, there is no way to keep premiums low).
The Republican strategy here seems very risky to me. They are basically gambling that this will help America, seemingly without much interest in finding out whether it actually will help America beforehand. They are gambling that their messaging (“you were really helped by this bill whether you know it or not!”) will be able to overcome the opposition messaging (“this bill just bankrupted your children”).
Most of politics these days seems to be more of a branding exercise than anything related to actual governance. More of a Coke versus Pepsi thing than anything else, if you know what I mean. Ie. The Republican brand is better than the Democratic brand, or vice versa. It doesn’t matter a whit whether Republicans are in charge or Democrats are in charge, if both sides wall themselves off from the other side (as they have been doing since Clinton) when crafting their legislation, the country will continue down a dark path. The “losing” side is always going to rebel against the “winning” side. Both sides are supposed to feel like they won.
Behind the Tweet: Scalzi versus Trump
I had an interesting thought the other day.
There is almost no difference between a tweet from John Scalzi and a tweet from Donald Trump. The only difference is that Scalzi’s have better grammar. But the intent? Identical.
Wow, more than 90% of Fake News Media coverage of me is negative, with numerous forced retractions of untrue stories. Hence my use of Social Media, the only way to get the truth out. Much of Mainstream Meadia has become a joke! @foxandfriends
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 13, 2017
Lightweight Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, a total flunky for Chuck Schumer and someone who would come to my office “begging” for campaign contributions not so long ago (and would do anything for them), is now in the ring fighting against Trump. Very disloyal to Bill & Crooked-USED!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 12, 2017
Folks, if you roll up with "both sides are equally bad" these days, I'm gonna know you're a fucking idiot whose understanding of political issues is about as deep as a single baked potato crisp. I literally have no time for you, Pringle pal.
— John Scalzi (@scalzi) December 16, 2017
After several minutes trying to find a polite way to say to a random person who tweeted me that their tweet was the stupidest thing I read in a while and that was saying something in 2017, and failing, I simply muted that person so I will never have to see their stupid again.
— John Scalzi (@scalzi) December 15, 2017
It’s like that Family Guy episode where it turned out that Rush Limbaugh and Michael Moore were really both characters played by Fred Savage.